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Fed likely to leave short-term rate alone, economists say


Tuesday January 27, 2:52 pm ET

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and his colleagues, meeting Tuesday for the first time this year, are likely to decide after reviewing the economy's progress to hold short-term interest rates at a 45-year low, economists say.

Fed policy-makers opened a two-day meeting that will wind up Wednesday with the Fed's announcement of its interest-rate decision in the afternoon.

Economists widely expect the central bank will hold a key short-term interest rate steady at 1 percent, a 45-year low. Analysts also expect Fed policy-makers will retain a pledge to keep short-term rates at near rock-bottom levels for a considerable period.

Some economists predict the Fed will leave short-term rates alone into 2005. But others believe the Fed will begin to nudge up rates later this year.

The Fed's main lever for influencing the economy is called the federal funds rate. The funds rate is the interest banks charge each other on overnight loans. The Fed slashed the funds rate by a half percentage point to 1 percent on June 25. In meetings after that, policy-makers have opted to leave the funds rate unchanged.

In the second half of 2003 the economy, after a long spell of lackluster activity, perked up, raising hopes that the recovery will be lasting.

Hours before the Fed gathered Tuesday, an economic report showed that consumer confidence grew stronger in January, rising to its highest level since mid-2002. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index rose to 96.8, following a dip in December to a revised reading of 91.7.

 

 

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